Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
One-OffPolitique américaineRégulationPolitique1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 72.2%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète30 avr. 24, 00:12 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
[tweet]This resolves Yes in the event that SCOTUS strikes down the circuit court’s ruling.
- It resolves No if the supremes uphold or remand the case.
- It could resolve to a percent if there is a peculiar partial agreement that carves out some constitutional protections but not others.
- This market can resolve based on the above case’s lineage, or any very similar case with the same implications.
