Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 19:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleJudge David J. Porter 96%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète8 sept. 25, 18:37 UTC8 sept. 27, 18:23 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
KalshiWill Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption?
Manifold MarketsWill a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving cars in their capital city?
Manifold MarketsNasdaq circuit breaker in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- For each judge option, resolve YES if that judge votes for an outcome that leaves Kalshi protected from New Jersey enforcement in the Third Circuit appeal KalshiEX LLC v.
- Flaherty, No. 25-1922 (i.e., votes to affirm the district court’s preliminary injunction or otherwise grant relief in Kalshi’s favor).
- A concurrence or dissent explicitly taking Kalshi’s side counts as YES.
- Otherwise NO.
- If the appeal is dismissed or mooted without a judge-by-judge merits vote, that option resolves N/A. Source of truth: the Third Circuit docket and the filed opinion.
