Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.5%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète28 mars 25, 20:49 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) classifies the United States as either a "hybrid regime" or an "authoritarian regime" in any of its Democracy Index reports published before January 1, 2030.
- It resolves to NO if the United States remains classified as either a "full democracy" or a "flawed democracy" in all EIU Democracy Index reports through the end of 2029.
- The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) publishes an annual Democracy Index that categorizes countries into four regime types:
- Full democracies (scores of 8.01-10)
- Flawed democracies (scores of 6.01-8.00)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria