Will the Coalition next split before the next election?
PolitiqueOne-OffWeatherUS PoliticsÉlection3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 56.5%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète8 févr. 26, 04:59 UTC30 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
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Resolution Criteria
- The next Australian federal election is scheduled to occur between May and September 2028.
- This market resolves YES if the Liberal-National Coalition formally splits at a Federal level (i.e., the Nationals formally withdraw from the Coalition agreement) at any point before the next federal election.
- Conditions for Resolution:
- - The split must be announced by official party leadership (Liberal or National).
- - The split must be reported by major Australian news outlets (e.g., ABC, SMH, The Australian).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Coalition next split before the next election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Coalition next split before the next election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Coalition next split before the next election? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Coalition next split before the next election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria