Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète9 sept. 24, 07:51 UTC27 août 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsDid Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)
Manifold MarketsWill Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsWill Lucy Letby be released before end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsComey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?
KalshiTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Letby's new legal team have said they will make an application to the CCRC asking for them to refer her case base to the Court of Appeal.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Her legal teams makes a submission to the CCRC, and the CCRC refers the case back to the Court of Appeal
- It will resolve NO if:
- Her legal team has made no submission to the CCRC before 1st September 2026
- Her legal team makes a submission to the CCRC, and they decline to refer it to the Court of Appeal