Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
TechOne-Off2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:03 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Obsolète20 janv. 26, 23:35 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRègles
https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-services/licensing/transportation-licensing-and-analysis-branch/autonomous-vehicle-programs/autonomous-vehicle-program-permits-issued
- This question will resolve to YES if TESLA receives a DRIVERLESS DEPLOYMENT PERMIT under the CPUC's Autonomous Vehicle program, which is the final regulatory requirement to operate driverless robotaxis.
- This question will resolve NO at close time if TESLA has not obtained a DRIVERLESS DEPLOYMENT PERMIT according to the CPUC website/news reporting.
- At the time of market creation, TESLA has not obtained any AV permits, though they have obtained a permit to operate a TCP service (e.g. Uber, not permitted to use any self-driving tech)
