Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
One-OffTech2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 janv. 26, 05:18 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
Manifold MarketsWill Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-services/licensing/transportation-licensing-and-analysis-branch/autonomous-vehicle-programs/autonomous-vehicle-program-permits-issued
- This question will resolve to YES if ZOOX receives a DRIVERLESS DEPLOYMENT PERMIT under the CPUC's Autonomous Vehicle program, which is the final regulatory requirement to operate driverless robotaxis.
- This question will resolve NO at close time if ZOOX has not obtained a DRIVERLESS DEPLOYMENT PERMIT according to the CPUC website/news reporting.
- At the time of market creation, Zoox has CPUC permits for Drivered and Driverless Pilot rides.
- From the CA DMV, Zoox has a driver and driverless testing permits, but does not a deployment permit (link).