Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
TechOne-Off4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.3%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète5 janv. 26, 20:01 UTC7 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/vehicle-industry-services/autonomous-vehicles/autonomous-vehicle-testing-permit-holders/
- [link preview] This question will resolve to YES if TESLA shows up as having had a driverless testing or deployment permit during , according to the DMV website's list above, using the "as of MONTH DAY, YEAR" date.
- Previously the DMV website has taken a few days to update, so the close time is a bit after the end of .
- This question will resolve to NO if either (1) Tesla does not appear on the list by close time, or (2) if Tesla does appear but the "as of" date is after Dec 31, .
Marchés ouverts
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KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
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- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026 doit être résolu le 7 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/vehicle-industry-services/autonomous-vehicles/autonomous-vehicle-testing-permit-holders/