Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.6%
Prévisionnistes
63
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 sept. 24, 22:03 UTC14 déc. 59, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiWill Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?
KalshiTaylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
KalshiWill Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
PolymarketWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketTaylor Swift pregnant by which date?
PolymarketRègles
She does not have to marry Travis Kelce for this to resolve.
- Any marriage will suffice.
- If she still performs as Taylor Swift, that is not enough to resolve as NO.
- She has to alter her legal name in some form.
- Hyphenating resolves as yes.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Taylor Swift change her name if she marries? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Taylor Swift change her name if she marries? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Taylor Swift change her name if she marries? doit être résolu le 14 décembre 2059.
- Comment Will Taylor Swift change her name if she marries? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : She does not have to marry Travis Kelce for this to resolve.