Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 90.7% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Comment Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Scott Alexander has challenged Steven Pinker to a debate on AI safety.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt95%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+24.0pt88%

+15 résultats de plus

Volume total

5,2 M €

Volume 24h

313,2 k €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt30.5%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.6pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt17.1%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt56.6%
• Gemini+1.8pt32.6%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.5pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+2.5pt96%
• October 31-7.8pt37%
• October 30-12.5pt32%

+17 résultats de plus

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