Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
One-OffSociety & Culture3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.6%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 janv. 26, 21:02 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
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Marchés ouverts
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- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 résultats de plus
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- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
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- Yes+4.0pt18%
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- Yes-6.0pt5%
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- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.