Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.2%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète2 sept. 23, 07:33 UTC31 déc. 34, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This question is defining 'bullfighting' as 'an event where in the normal course of events a bull is killed in the ring'.
- There are other styles of bullfighting, notably Portuguese, where the bull is attacked in the ring and slaughtered outside of it after the event.
- Because this question is trying to measure the likelihood of Spain making a national move on this issue, I am adopting a more realistic interpretation of what a 'ban' might look like.
- This will resolve YES if Spain bans bullfighting where the bull is killed in the ring by close of question time.
- It will resolve NO otherwise.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2034.
- Comment Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question is defining 'bullfighting' as 'an event where in the normal course of events a bull is killed in the ring'.