Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?
One-OffSociety & CultureDivertissement18jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.1%
Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète27 sept. 25, 12:54 UTC27 sept. 26, 12:46 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Eliezer Yudkowsky & Nate Soares appears on any weekly New York Times Best Sellers list (any category, including Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction, Hardcover Nonfiction, or Audio Nonfiction) on a list published after this market opens and before it closes.
- Evidence: the title listed on the relevant NYT weekly page.
- Example list pages: https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/combined-print-and-e-book-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/hardcover-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/audio-nonfiction/
- If the book is already on a list the week this market opens, the next distinct weekly appearance counts as “again.”
- I won’t be trading on this market.
