Will SpaceX launch a rocket from Louisiana by December 31, 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffEspaceTechGéopolitiqueMoyen-OrientEurope2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 33 minutes
26 août 26, 16:05 UTC31 déc. 28, 17:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurWhen will SpaceX launch Starship Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets(Musk Predicition) Will SpaceX Launch Spacebound Rockets every hour within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolves YES if a SpaceX rocket lifts off from the announced Vermilion Parish, Louisiana launch facility by 11:59 PM Central Time on December 31, 2028.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Static-fire tests, hops that are not licensed as launches, and launches from other SpaceX sites do not count.
- The mission's later outcome does not matter.
- Source: Louisiana Economic Development.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
