Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93%
Non 93%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
284 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
28
Commentaires
1
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX launch Starship Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
Futuur(Musk Predicition) Will SpaceX Launch Spacebound Rockets every hour within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
This market aims to predict whether SpaceX will launch at least one Starship spacecraft without a human crew to Mars by December 31, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the referred date, the Starship is effectively launched towards Mars and successfully leaves the orbit of the Earth, regardless of whether or not it successfully reaches the orbit of Mars and lands on the planet's surface.
- This market may resolve to "No" before the end of 2026 if SpaceX officially announces that it will NOT launch such a mission to Mars by the referred date.
