Will someone engineer a virus to wipe out over 50% of the North American pigeon population by EOY 2035?

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Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will someone engineer a virus to wipe out over 50% of the North American pigeon population by EOY 2035? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 87.4% au 19 octobre 2026.

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Will someone engineer a virus to wipe out over 50% of the North American pigeon population by EOY 2035? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2035.

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POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.1pt97%
• Yes+0.1pt3%

Volume total

1,1 M €

Volume 24h

5,2 k €

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027-1.0pt7.5%
• Before December 1, 2026+2.0pt7%
• Before November 1, 2026

POLYMARKET

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?

• 12.5% to 15%53.1%
• 15% to 17.5%+4.5pt28.6%
• 10% to 12.5%-2.0pt14.3%

+2 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?

• On Nov 16, 2026+8.0pt93.5%
• On Mar 15, 202766.5%
• On Nov 22, 202769%

KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

• No94.5%
• Yes+2.0pt5.5%

Volume total

880,3 k €

Volume 24h

2,9 k €

POLYMARKET

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

• No96%
• Yes4%

Volume total

102,1 k €

Volume 24h

2,3 k €

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