Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.2%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète28 oct. 26, 15:26 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the first commercially released generation (or official consumer hardware specification reveal) of Sesame smart glasses includes an optical waveguide display (such as diffractive, reflective, or holographic waveguide optics) capable of projecting visual graphics or text into the wearer’s field of view.
- This market resolves to NO if:
- Sesame's first smart glasses launch without any visual display (e.g., audio/camera-only, similar to Ray-Ban Meta glasses).
- The glasses use a non-waveguide optical display system (e.g., birdbath optics, prism/curved mirror combiner without a planar waveguide).
- Sesame officially cancels or shuts down hardware development without launching smart glasses.