Will Scott Alexander (Scott Siskind, psychiatrist and writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Criminalité et justiceOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 21:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète4 déc. 22, 17:14 UTC31 déc. 29, 05:00 UTC
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Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Scott Siskind (Scott Alexander, psychiatrist and writer of Astral Codex Ten, previously Slate Star Codex) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Question is global -- charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
- Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
