Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 68.3%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète27 déc. 23, 18:36 UTC1 janv. 28, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsMajor AI companies continue experiencing problems with public due to AI (based on transformer language model) overcome behavior limitations and acts "strange" by the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsOn January 1, 2027, a Transformer-like model will continue to hold the state-of-the-art position in most benchmark
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Chinchilla presented The Scaling Laws
- [image]I'll not hold more than 10 shares in this market, though may make small token bets once in a while.