Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-Off22jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 juin 26, 20:03 UTC30 sept. 26, 22:59 UTC
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Ed Zitron claims in a recent interview that Anthropic and OpenAI are unable to measure the ROI associated with their products. he goes on to say:
- “When it comes to the model companies they are horrifyingly, horrifyingly unprofitable.
- I think OpenAI lost twenty-something billion last year.
- Anthropic's probably not far behind that..
- That’s the thing — when we see these S1s I think it is going to be kind of a massacre, because I think that people have this view that these companies are becoming more profitable or even have a path to profitability, and they don’t have one”
- Resolution criteria
Marchés ouverts
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
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- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
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- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
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POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Ed Zitron claims in a recent interview that Anthropic and OpenAI are unable to measure the ROI associated with their products. he goes on to say: