KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 20, 2029 49.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Jan 20, 2029 49.5%Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
455,1 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 20, 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 39 minutes
9 juil. 26, 00:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 14:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 20, 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
At the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWhich months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
KalshiRègles
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Financial TimesThe InformationMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCOpenAIAnthropicNBCThe Washington Postthe Associated PressReutersAxiosFox NewsCNNPoliticoBloomberg NewsCBSCNBCThe New York Times
- Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.