Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.5%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète26 juin 26, 01:28 UTC10 déc. 26, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for November 2026 reports that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) all items less food and energy, seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from October 2026 to November 2026.
- Resolve NO if the initial BLS release reports a seasonally adjusted all items less food and energy CPI-U month-over-month change of 0.2% or lower, including 0.0% or a decline.
- Use the official BLS CPI news release or its tables for November 2026 as the primary source, specifically the seasonally adjusted Table A row for all items less food and energy.
- Do not use headline/all-items CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, non-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions.
- If BLS corrects the initial November 2026 CPI release before this market is resolved, use the corrected BLS release.
- Scheduled source context: BLS calendar lists Consumer Price Index, November 2026, at 08:30 AM Eastern on December 10, 2026; the calendar note says all times are Eastern Time.
