Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.5%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète2 juin 26, 04:21 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will New Glenn 7x2 ever fly again?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket leaves the ground under its own power before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Blue Origin's heavy-lift orbital rocket, New Glenn, has successfully flown three times:
- NG-1 on January 16, 2025
- NG-2 on November 13, 2025