Will National Governments Collectively Give More than $100M a year in funding for AI Alignment by 2030?
IAOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 81.2%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
15 déc. 23, 21:20 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves positive if >$100M USD is granted in any calendar year before 2030, towards AI alignment efforts.
- I will deduct amount given to non-existential risk related projects (i.e. misinformation, bias, autonomous weapons).
- I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria in the first 42 hours.
- And modifications will be made in good faith.
- I will not trade in this market.
