Will Mykhailo Fedorov be reappointed as Defence Minister of Ukraine?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.2%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
16 juil. 26, 10:11 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mykhailo Fedorov is officially appointed and confirmed as the Minister of Defence of Ukraine again at any point on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definition of Appointment: The appointment must follow the official constitutional process of Ukraine—nomination by the President of Ukraine and confirmation by a majority vote of the Verkhovna Rada (Ukraine's parliament).
- Acting or temporary designations will not trigger a "YES" resolution unless they are formally confirmed by the parliament.
- Source of Truth: Official government portals, specifically the President of Ukraine or the Verkhovna Rada, or reliable reports from major international and Ukrainian media outlets (e.g., Reuters, The Kyiv Independent, Ukrainska Pravda).
