Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 52.1%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète20 juil. 26, 14:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elections in Ukraine called before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mykhailo Fedorov officially and publicly announces his candidacy for any national-level political office in Ukraine (including, but not limited to, President of Ukraine or a Member of Parliament / Verkhovna Rada) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- To trigger a YES resolution:
- The announcement must be made directly by Mykhailo Fedorov, his official representatives, or through his verified communications channels (e.g., verified social media, official press statements, or direct quotes in reputable news outlets).
- The statement must express a definitive intent to run or register as a candidate in a future national election, even if the exact date of the election remains unscheduled due to ongoing wartime martial law.
- Anonymous leaks, media speculation, or hypothetical statements (e.g., "I would consider running if...") will not suffice for a YES resolution.
