Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète20 juil. 26, 14:06 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUkraine election called by which date?
PolymarketWill Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsHow will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
Manifold MarketsUkraine holds elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, an official decree, legislative resolution, or regulatory decision is enacted by an authorized Ukrainian government body—specifically the Verkhovna Rada (Parliament), the President of Ukraine, or the Central Election Commission (CEC)—that officially schedules and sets a specific calendar date (or dates) for a nationwide presidential or parliamentary election.
- The scheduled date of the voting itself may occur in 2027 or later, provided that the formal legal act of calling/scheduling the election and assigning it a calendar date is completed and announced before January 1, 2027.
- Notes and Edge Cases:
- Postponements: If an election is officially scheduled before the deadline but is subsequently postponed, rescheduled, or canceled after December 31, 2026, this market still resolves to YES (as the act of calling the election occurred within the timeframe).
- Conditional/Vague Statements: General statements of intent, political promises, or tentative timelines (e.g., "elections will occur 90 days after a ceasefire") do not suffice to resolve YES unless a specific calendar date is officially decreed or legislated by the government.
