Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
One-OffChineRégulationTech2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.3%
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18
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète6 mai 24, 16:05 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This is an evaluation of this prediction from Jack Clark (https://twitter.com/jackclarkSF/status/1787493143186948454)
- "Registering bet that CCP prohibitions on generation of "unsafe" content will mean companies like Facebook use CN-developed censorship techniques to train models so they can be openly disseminated 'safely'.
- The horseshoe theory of AI politics where communist and libertarian ideologies end up in the same place."
- This is in reference to Sophon, and potential future advances like it: https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.12699.
- Resolves to YES if this statement proves accurate within the deadline with respect to Meta in particular, as applied to Meta's best open weights model at the time.
- Resolves to NO if this does not happen.
