Will @ManiFed or @ManiFedTrading experience any sort of data breach before 2027?
QuarterlyCriminalité et justiceTech2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.2%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète21 déc. 25, 19:32 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves yes if ManiFed experiences a data breach on their website **********.org (revealed in the near future)
- (e.g. API keys leaked, hacked, anything else significant along those lines)
- Created because of @Quroe's good idea
- https://manifold.markets/post/manifed-user-input-survey-m25-bount#U0luqzOc
- Update 2025-12-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a SQL injection vulnerability (or similar security bug) is discovered and tested to the point of confirming its existence (e.g., getting an SQL syntax error from an API response), this will resolve YES even if no actual data was exfiltrated, as the vulnerability itself constitutes evidence that data could have been breached.
- Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a vulnerability is discovered and confirmed (e.g., SQL injection tested to the point of getting an error response), this will resolve YES even if no users were actually affected or data was actually exfiltrated, as the vulnerability itself constitutes evidence that data could have been breached.
