Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?
EuropeOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 54.3%En tête parmi 3 options
Oui 54.3%Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète30 juin 24, 09:06 UTC31 déc. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Question Description: As advanced AI could pose existential risks and also reshape labour markets leading to inequality, this question examines whether by December 31, 2027 top AI governance research institutions (listed below) will emphasize tax strategies for AI to address mentioned challenges .
- These strategies might include e.g. taxing AI operations, data usage, and compute resources as means to manage AI development costs and mitigate associated risks.
- The focus is on whether and how research institutions addresses AI's economic and safety implications through innovative tax policies.
- Resolution Criteria: This question will resolve as "Yes" if, by the end of 2027, any of the top research non-profits dealing with AI governance (listed below), publicly commits to prioritizing tax policy research focused on AI's impact on labour, inequality or safety.
- Acceptable indicators include announcements of new research initiatives, research papers, funding for specific studies on AI taxation, or the establishment of teams dedicated to exploring these fiscal strategies.
- This excludes any announcements from international bodies such as the UN, OECD, or EU, as well as US think tanks like CSET or RAND.
