Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 90%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète6 août 26, 15:23 UTC31 déc. 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026?
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FutuurEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, as of December 31, 2035, the Principality of Liechtenstein exists as an independent, sovereign state.
- The market will resolve to NO if, by December 31, 2035, Liechtenstein has ceased to exist as an independent nation—for example, if it has been annexed, has voluntarily merged with another country (such as Switzerland or Austria), or has otherwise lost its status as a sovereign state.
- Source of Verification: The primary source of truth will be the official list of United Nations Member States.
- If Liechtenstein is listed as an active, independent member state on this list (or a direct successor official UN list), the market resolves to YES.
- If the UN member state registry is unavailable or ambiguous, the market will resolve based on international diplomatic consensus, referencing official statements from the Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs or the European Union.
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 323,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 523 k €
- Volume 24h
- 22 k €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume total
- 611,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,5 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7 k €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2035.
- Comment Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria