Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90.6%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète6 févr. 25, 11:30 UTC31 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will more porn categories/themes be banned in the UK before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill i be banned from Manifold for market manipulation and/or fixing markets before the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PolymarketWill greyhound racing be banned in the US by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14362823/Home-Secretary-Yvette-Cooper-considers-call-Idris-Elba-ban-kitchen-knives-pointed-ends.html
- Update 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Ban Resolution Clarification
- Ban Definition: Any ban on possession, sale, transportation, or manufacturing of knives with pointed ends qualifies as a ban.
- Allowable Exceptions: Some exceptions are permitted and still count as a YES resolution.
- Exclusions: Narrow bans, such as knife zones, do not meet the criteria.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
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- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will knives with pointed ends be banned in the UK before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will knives with pointed ends be banned in the UK before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will knives with pointed ends be banned in the UK before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will knives with pointed ends be banned in the UK before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14362823/Home-Secretary-Yvette-Cooper-considers-call-Idris-Elba-ban-kitchen-knives-pointed-ends.html