Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 56.8%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète25 mai 25, 20:34 UTC31 déc. 27, 21:32 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the OpenAI hardware device be a portable puck that sees, speaks, and moves?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will I think OpenAI has been net-good for the world?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I think OpenAI was being honest about their structure in 2025?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Examples of flops: Humane AI pin, Rabbit R1, Google Glass.
- Resolves N/A if no hardware product before 2028.
- Update 2025-05-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they are intentionally not defining "flop" further.
- Resolution will be based on their subjective judgment, using the standard of "I'll know it when I see it".