Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.1%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes
8 mai 26, 05:50 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
PolymarketWill we see analog accelerators in consumer hardware by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I think OpenAI's first hardware product is a flop?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic PBC officially announces, releases, or opens for pre-order a physical consumer hardware product (e.g., dedicated AI wearable, smart device, or robotics hardware intended for direct consumer use) on or before December 31, 2026.
- Official announcements via Anthropic’s company blog (https://www.anthropic.com/news), press releases, or confirmed statements from Anthropic leadership serve as the source of truth.
- If no such product is announced by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
- Anthropic is an AI safety and research company primarily focused on developing large language models like the Claude series.
- As of May 2026, the company has primarily operated as a software-first organization, providing access to its models via API and its web-based chat interface.
