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4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 39 minutes
27 janv. 26, 23:04 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
Kalshi6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.
Manifold MarketsMajor AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic will stop investing in MCP in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill "AI companies are unlikely to make high-assura..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Currently I consider them to be OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic.
- Update 2026-01-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator evaluates the "Big 3" based on market share, general popularity, and being "in the scene" rather than model quality.
- Current ranking: 1.
- Anthropic 2.
