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Mis à jour il y a 50 minutes
En retard15 déc. 25, 17:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I be able to hail a driverless Zoox ride in San Francisco by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill I be able to hail a driverless Zoox ride in San Francisco by the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsWhen will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?
Manifold MarketsThe first fully autonomous vehicle will be sold to consumers in 2026 — but it won’t be from Tesla
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
I am currently approved for Waymo in the SF peninsula service area, and am on the waiting list for freeway access.
- I have not yet used Waymo, but I plan to before the end of 2025 (https://manifold.markets/MingweiSamuel/will-i-be-able-to-hail-a-driverless-2lIA6zLStc).
- Resolves yes if I can book a ride from Oakland to SF (or reverse) and successfully do so.
- The ride must not have a safety driver.
- (If I book a trip but do have a safety driver, I will try at least one more time to get a ride without one) (If I am not physically able to attempt to book a ride to check for myself, I will resolve N/A)