Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 95%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
12 août 26, 18:20 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Grok 4.6 was said to be August 7th and was released August 12th.
- Currently, 4.7 is slated for early September.
- https://www.reddit.com/r/cursor/comments/1v924ah/grok_46_around_august_7_and_grok_47_likely_early/
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 75,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 61,5 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 61,1 k €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of September 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 95% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of September 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of September 2026? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of September 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Grok 4.6 was said to be August 7th and was released August 12th.