Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.2%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète30 avr. 26, 00:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of NVIDIA, Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will have the largest market cap at 2026 EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded company will have the largest market cap on 1 January 2030?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Alphabet Inc. (GOOG/GOOGL) has the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company globally as of the market close on the final trading day of December 2026.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
- Resolution will be based on data provided by reputable financial market data platforms, such as CompaniesMarketCap.com or Bloomberg.
- Market capitalization is defined as the current share price multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding.
- If market data for the final trading day is ambiguous or conflicting, common sense and the consensus of major financial news outlets will be used to determine the leader.
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria