Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJune 30 2026 100%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète14 févr. 26, 22:50 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Gavin Newsom is the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, who will be the Vice Presidential nominee?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the next Democrat to become President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRègles
Resolves YES if Gavin Newsom has the highest % for that date on Polymarket.
- On that date at 3am EST I will check Polymarkets 2028 dem nominee market.https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
- I will use the % displayed.
- If equal with another person, I’ll use the exact yes or no bid prices to decide.
- If still equal, I’ll resolve 50/50.
- If I suspect that is incorrect or something has been manipulated I’ll use the yes and no prices or Kalshi.
