Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
21 févr. 23, 20:26 UTC31 déc. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against melanoma before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against non-small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?
Manifold MarketsAny vaccine against Alzheimer's disease to be safe and effective by the end of 2027?
FutuurWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if the FDA grants full approval for the commercial sale of any mRNA-based vaccine for the treatment of malaria in the United States before January 1, 2028.
- This does not include emergency use authorization or other forms of limited authorization.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 83,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 864,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 915,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume total
- 4,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the FDA grants full approval for the commercial sale of any mRNA-based vaccine for the treatment of malaria in the United States before January 1, 2028.