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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète31 août 24, 09:46 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Règles
On 28 Aug 2024 SpaceX's run of successful booster landings came to an end at 267 with the loss of booster B1062 after its 23rd successful launch.
- Will SpaceX beat this record of consecutive successes for Falcon booster landings?
- B1086's fire on landing reset the streak on 3 Mar 2025, after 73 successes.
- Edit: for clarity, a failure during ascent would also invalidate the streak.
- Anything after engine ignition for launch, where a booster landing was intended.
- Update 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Intrinsic Failure Requirement:
Marchés ouverts
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
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- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
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- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
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- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : On 28 Aug 2024 SpaceX's run of successful booster landings came to an end at 267 with the loss of booster B1062 after its 23rd successful launch.