Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2028?
Russie / UkraineOne-OffChineEspaceScience2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95.3%
Non 95.3%Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète23 déc. 23, 18:26 UTC1 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2028, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, meeting the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be detailed in at least one peer-reviewed publication in a high-impact scientific journal with significant academic reputation.
- Relevant fields include astronomy, astrobiology, or related scientific disciplines.
- Journals like 'Nature' and 'Science' are ideal examples, but other journals of similar standing are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or governmental bodies.
- Agencies that could fulfill this role include, but are not limited to, NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).