Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète12 févr. 25, 23:06 UTC31 déc. 28, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk say the word “misanthropic” again before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?
KalshiWill the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Manifold MarketsHow many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Elon Musk has described himself as a 'cultural Christian' and expressed appreciation for Christian principles.
- This market resolves YES if Musk makes an explicit, unambiguous statement identifying as a Christian (not just 'cultural Christian') on any public platform (Twitter, interviews, etc.) before 31st December, 2028.
- The statement must be unambiguous (e.g., "I am a Christian" or expressing belief in core Christian doctrines like Jesus's divinity or resurrection)
- Resolution source: Musk's X/Twitter account (@elonmusk) or verified news coverage of direct quotes.
