Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
One-OffPolitique américaine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 21:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 51%
Prévisionnistes
229
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète23 mai 24, 13:11 UTC1 juin 29, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the White House announce a briefing room swimming pool?
KalshiWhen will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing?
KalshiWill the White House move reporters out of the briefing room in 2026?
KalshiWhat will the White House Press Secretary say in the next press briefing?
KalshiRègles
From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.
- Resolves YES if either:
- An invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky.
- An identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason.
- Doesn't matter what the context is.
- Resolves NO if it doesn't.
