Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 51.7%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète27 juil. 26, 22:19 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
KalshiWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWhich states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWill US president Donald Trump visit Iran in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Donald Trump visit in the remainder of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
LimitlessRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump makes a subsequent visit to mainland China, Hong Kong, or Macau on or after July 27, 2026, and before January 1, 2027 (12:00 AM UTC).
- Because Donald Trump already completed a state visit to Beijing on May 13–15, 2026, his past trip does not satisfy the resolution criteria.
- This market requires a new, separate visit during the specified timeframe.
- The market will resolve based on official statements from the White House or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, or consensus reporting from major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg).
- A "visit" is defined as Trump physically landing and setting foot in the specified territory.
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume total
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POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.9pt100%
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 52% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria