Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91%
Prévisionnistes
83
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
4 mai 25, 20:03 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
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KalshiRègles
Will Donald Trump die during his term?
- For the purposes of this question, this closes on January 20, 2029 regardless of whether Trump has done something to extend his term, postpone elections, etc… Cause of death does not matter, if he’s dead he’s dead.