Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Politique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJoe Biden 53.9%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard18 juin 24, 13:00 UTC19 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.
- This, among other problems, brings an increased risk for death from natural causes.
- The male life expectancy in the USA is 73.5 years, an age they both passed already.
- What is the chance they pass away from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
- This market resolves per person to YES once they die of natural causes, NO if they die from non natural causes, and NO if they are alive on the end of the next presidential term (20th of January 2029), whichever comes first.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Joe Biden à 54% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? doit être résolu le 19 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.