Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
5.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 64%-5.5pt
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
58,4 €
Liquidité
104,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
60.0% / 68.0%
Écart
8.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-6.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
27 mai 26, 15:22 UTC3 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Biden OR Trump die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans win the Senate and House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill the Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- All Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the winner, even if they take place after November 2026.
- Vacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected.
