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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

1.5% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection4mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 71%-0.0%
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

210,7 €

Liquidité

1,6 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

68.0% / 73.0%

Spread

7.3%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

-6.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

27 mai 26, 15:333 nov. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes71%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve based on the results of all elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
  • If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
  • For purposes of this market, the relevant states won by Donald Trump in 2024 but not in 2020 are Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona.
  • No other states will be considered for purposes of this market, and no disputes of any state result from 2020 or 2024 will be considered relevant.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve based on the results of all elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
  • If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
  • For purposes of this market, the relevant states won by Donald Trump in 2024 but not in 2020 are Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona.
  • No other states will be considered for purposes of this market, and no disputes of any state result from 2020 or 2024 will be considered relevant.