Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 98%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète18 déc. 25, 20:26 UTC31 déc. 26, 20:25 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president through December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer serving as president by that date, including through resignation, removal via the 25th Amendment, impeachment and conviction, or any other means of losing the office.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official White House website (whitehouse.gov) or major news sources confirming the sitting president on December 31, 2026.
- Trump previously served as the 45th President from 2017 to 2021, making him the second President in American history to serve two nonconsecutive terms.
