Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 79.4%
Prévisionnistes
61
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète20 déc. 25, 02:11 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election on November 5, 2024, and will be inaugurated as the 47th president.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president on December 31, 2028.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer president on that date for any reason, including death, resignation, removal from office, or loss of a subsequent election.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official status of the U.S. presidency on December 31, 2028, via the White House website (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) or official government records.
- The President and Vice President serve four-year terms.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria